TradeJournalOS

Payoff Ratio

Payoff ratio is your average winning trade divided by the absolute value of your average losing trade — how many dollars a typical win brings versus a typical loss. Combined with win rate it determines whether a system is profitable.

Formula

Payoff Ratio = avg winner / |avg loser|

Worked example

Winners average +$400; losers average −$150.

Average winner ($500 + $300) / 2 = $400
Average loser (−$200 − $100) / 2 = −$150
Payoff ratio $400 / $150
Result 2.67
Why it matters

It is the other half of the edge equation: a low win rate is fine if the payoff ratio is high enough. Trend systems often run low win rates with high payoff ratios.

Common pitfalls

Like the average it is built on, a single outlier win can inflate it; review it next to the median and the R-distribution. It ignores how often you win — always read it with win rate.

How TradeJournalOS shows it

Shown on the dashboard and in breakdowns from your average winner and average loser over closed trades.

Create a free account to see payoff ratio on your own trades.

Related metrics

Frequently asked questions

How does payoff ratio relate to win rate? +

Together they set profitability. The minimum win rate to break even is 1 / (1 + payoff ratio); a higher payoff ratio lowers the win rate you need.

Is a higher payoff ratio always better? +

Higher is generally better, but very high payoff ratios usually come with lower win rates and longer losing streaks, which are harder to sit through.