Win Rate

Win rate is the share of decided trades that were winners — winning trades divided by winners plus losers. Scratch (break-even) trades are excluded from the denominator by default. A high win rate is not the same as profitability; pair it with payoff ratio.

Formula

Win Rate = wins / (wins + losses)

Worked example

Four closed trades: 2 winners (+$500, +$300) and 2 losers (−$200, −$100).

Wins	2
Losses	2
Win rate	2 / (2 + 2)
Result	50.0%

Why it matters

It sets your expectations for streaks and drawdowns and combines with payoff ratio to determine whether an edge is profitable. By itself it says nothing about the size of wins versus losses.

Common pitfalls

A win rate near 100% with tiny winners and rare huge losers can still lose money. Scratches are excluded from the denominator here, so a screen full of break-evens does not inflate it.

How TradeJournalOS shows it

A headline dashboard KPI and a column in every breakdown, computed over closed trades with scratches excluded from the denominator.

Dashboard metric

Preview coming soon

Win Rate as shown on the TradeJournalOS dashboard, computed deterministically from your closed trades.

Create a free account to see win rate on your own trades.

Related metrics

Payoff Ratio Profit Factor Expectancy

Frequently asked questions

Are break-even trades counted in win rate? +

No. A scratch (net P&L exactly 0) is neither a win nor a loss, so it is excluded from the win/(win+loss) denominator by default.

What win rate do I need to be profitable? +

It depends on your payoff ratio. The break-even win rate is 1 / (1 + payoff ratio) — above that line you are profitable.