Break-Even Win Rate Calculator
The break-even win rate is the minimum percentage of trades you must win, for a given payoff ratio, just to break even. Enter your payoff ratio (average win ÷ average loss) and the tool returns the win rate you need before costs. Win above it and the system is profitable; below it, even a high win rate loses money. It is the cleanest way to see how a bigger average winner lowers the win rate you need.
Break-even win rate
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Frequently asked questions
What is the break-even win rate formula? +
Break-even win rate = 1 ÷ (1 + payoff ratio). With a payoff ratio of 2, you need 1 ÷ 3 ≈ 33.3% winners to break even before costs.
Does this include commissions? +
No. It is the theoretical break-even before fees. Your real break-even win rate is slightly higher once commissions and slippage are included.